Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 258.802667 292.126197 329.146078 373.508844 425.470481 484.700376 557.745380
2025-05-04 209.001744 252.567104 305.272252 374.472697 464.045278 577.619481 735.040963
2025-05-11 177.667573 223.923094 282.946200 365.130644 478.789264 633.791490 867.213493
2025-05-18 156.039757 203.238533 266.053870 357.756132 491.675247 685.865718 1000.104171
2025-05-25 145.276261 194.972698 263.719222 368.616622 529.956672 778.296022 1210.070828
2025-06-01 133.111597 183.052814 254.361975 367.245764 548.653214 842.631270 1387.251028
2025-06-08 121.498220 170.546513 242.487093 360.022822 556.257977 889.097673 1542.179167
2025-06-15 113.491146 162.464539 236.175104 360.358817 575.647071 957.863703 1753.228681
2025-06-22 104.697429 152.338901 225.607927 352.287387 579.074994 997.956507 1916.096880
2025-06-29 98.492439 145.648967 219.749846 351.255286 594.518728 1062.577313 2146.195247
2025-07-06 90.375064 135.282738 207.006692 336.850462 583.169759 1072.449067 2255.428528
2025-07-13 88.325728 134.489305 209.924903 350.396193 626.682106 1201.494021 2683.557233
2025-07-20 86.404514 133.869255 213.268908 365.501756 676.476468 1356.171097 3236.003327
2025-07-27 82.285223 129.258549 209.318938 366.472933 697.568850 1451.420146 3664.063841
2025-08-03 77.047568 122.345056 200.691412 357.372037 695.719282 1491.982196 3946.625984
2025-08-10 72.571518 116.447154 193.423373 350.189924 697.053351 1540.697980 4274.019353
2025-08-17 70.907319 115.366219 194.862193 360.767231 740.164313 1705.715742 5060.398388
2025-08-24 67.815800 111.514483 190.800873 359.432223 755.150351 1799.110712 5637.797603
2025-08-31 64.268918 106.612697 184.375678 352.397647 755.331087 1851.305240 6083.964305
2025-09-07 61.864958 103.658368 181.482330 352.724898 773.870063 1961.289123 6824.956219
2025-09-14 58.709799 99.122472 175.173626 344.862990 770.385054 2004.234436 7299.822556
2025-09-21 56.523134 96.282523 172.035478 343.857602 784.792997 2107.041902 8115.420152
2025-09-28 53.118105 90.950945 163.554578 329.823725 762.351987 2085.567235 8309.288207